Staff Report
ISLAMABAD: Consumers across Pakistan may see a mixed revision in petroleum product prices from August 1, 2025, with petrol and high-speed diesel (HSD) likely to become cheaper, while kerosene and light diesel oil (LDO) are expected to see moderate price hikes.
As per industry estimates based on current international market data and cost structures, the ex-depot price of petrol is projected to drop by Rs9.07 per litre, coming down to Rs263.08 from the existing Rs272.15. The ex-refinery price is also estimated to fall from Rs168.73 to Rs159.66 per litre, reflecting a decrease of 5.4 percent.
High-speed diesel, used mainly in transport and agriculture sectors, is also expected to see a cut of Rs3.73 per litre, reducing the ex-depot price from Rs284.35 to Rs280.62, while its ex-refinery price is likely to drop to Rs181.06.
However, kerosene and LDO, fuels widely used in rural areas and for industrial applications, are set to become costlier. Kerosene’s ex-depot price could rise to Rs184.88, while the LDO rate is expected to reach Rs170.09, due to price increases of Rs3.55 and Rs2.33 per litre, respectively.
These price adjustments are contingent upon final Platts assessments and may vary slightly before implementation. The proposed revisions also incorporate the petroleum levy and freight margins, which currently stand at Rs78.02 per litre on petrol and Rs77.01 on diesel, along with premiums of $6.76 and $3.20 per barrel on petrol and diesel, respectively.
If approved, the downward adjustment in petrol and diesel prices would offer welcome financial relief to households, vehicle owners, and freight operators facing mounting inflation. Meanwhile, the rise in kerosene and LDO may offset some of this relief, especially in rural and small-scale industrial areas.
